25 April 2009

Good News for BC Greens

... although Jonathan Fowlie, of the (surprise!) Canwest News Service, disagrees. Apparently, he and his editors can't count.

Reporting on an Ipsos Reid poll, which was taken between April 20th and 23rd, Fowlie concludes that Jane Sterk and the Greens are having "similar troubles" to the others.

Not so. From his own article, we learn
37 per cent of voters said the campaign has so far lowered their impression of [Carole] James and the NDP, while 34 per cent said the same of [Gordon] Campbell and the Liberals. By contrast, 17 per cent of voters said their impression of James and the NDP has improved during the campaign, while only 12 per cent said the same of Campbell and the Liberals.

Applying basic arithmetic, we can see what these numbers mean.
  • James and the NDP: 17 - 37 = -20
  • Gordo and the Libs: 12 - 34 = -22
How do Jane Sterk and the Greens fair? Let's consult Fowlie's report again:
Twelve per cent of people in the poll said the campaign has given them a better impression of Sterk and her party, while 10 per cent said their opinion has worsened.

From these facts, Fowlie concludes "Green Leader Jane Sterk is having similar troubles" to the other leaders.

Sigh.

Mr. Fowlie, Mr. Fowlie; here, let me lay it out for you:
  • James and the NDP: 17 - 37 = -20
  • Gordo and the Libs: 12 - 34 = -22
  • Sterk and the Greens: 12 - 10 = 2
The Greens are the only ones on the plus side and substantially ahead of the next in line, the NDP who are at sub-20. How is that "similar"?

Speaking to these results, Sterk has surprised me. My impression of her prior to this election was not good. Since the election began, several events have got my attention and caused a re-evaluation. Will be interesting to see how the rest of the election unfolds.

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